Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 3.928834 4.227366 4.546917 4.915999 5.332542 5.790466 6.335228
2025-04-13 3.364324 3.766388 4.224228 4.790255 5.479935 6.304808 7.384730
2025-04-20 3.055067 3.509345 4.048241 4.746348 5.644955 6.789973 8.407591
2025-04-27 2.897936 3.400848 4.018369 4.851423 5.977816 7.500329 9.817541
2025-05-04 2.781225 3.323660 4.009720 4.968844 6.324828 8.262128 11.434923
2025-05-11 2.638451 3.197473 3.921000 4.961599 6.487235 8.771002 12.760211
2025-05-18 2.522234 3.094857 3.851447 4.968087 6.661581 9.312469 14.250376
2025-05-25 2.369382 2.932201 3.686517 4.820142 6.581412 9.429859 15.000180
2025-06-01 2.246618 2.802491 3.557533 4.711913 6.547614 9.613136 15.910507
2025-06-08 2.172061 2.734122 3.509343 4.718376 6.694244 10.123327 17.611975
2025-06-15 2.126636 2.703051 3.511304 4.799560 6.969900 10.905615 20.149326
2025-06-22 2.017812 2.576721 3.366699 4.639254 6.815631 10.850761 20.694969
2025-06-29 1.917584 2.463223 3.242295 4.514425 6.732805 10.967308 21.841517
2025-07-06 1.827854 2.361791 3.131906 4.406729 6.674345 11.135694 23.240476
2025-07-13 1.763176 2.293440 3.067118 4.368130 6.736405 11.566154 25.590642
2025-07-20 1.735378 2.277466 3.080736 4.460699 7.054222 12.619938 30.507056
2025-07-27 1.711790 2.266153 3.100227 4.563989 7.405836 13.839619 37.006441
2025-08-03 1.665868 2.218775 3.059584 4.557621 7.534878 14.547765 42.168297
2025-08-10 1.625662 2.178205 3.027379 4.563324 7.689181 15.361437 48.709888
2025-08-17 1.560514 2.096698 2.924777 4.433156 7.537459 15.309018 50.806226
2025-08-24 1.506126 2.030014 2.843649 4.337769 7.452824 15.434316 54.149779
2025-08-31 1.474598 1.997733 2.817656 4.343469 7.593696 16.254459 63.005384
2025-09-07 1.457161 1.986740 2.826286 4.415027 7.893657 17.653391 78.994126